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May 20, 2026
How to bet against the AI memory boom
Micron has gained 138% year-to-date on a narrative sold to retail as insatiable AI demand. The data underneath is a Samsung memory division running DRAM ASP up in the low-90% range quarter-on-quarter against bit-shipment growth one order of magnitude smaller, a $73.3 billion Samsung capex commitment for 2026, and a Micron FY29 consensus that lands materially below the FY27 peak on every analyst panel. The May 12–18 chip pullback that culminated with Seagate CEO Dave Mosley’s May 18 remarks at the J.P. Morgan TMT conference in Boston was framed as a memory-discipline story when the data shows it was a cycle-peak signal6.
May 20, 2026
Kevin Warsh is about to pick a fight with the bond market. These stocks win out.
Kevin Warsh walks into his first FOMC meeting on June 16-17 with headline CPI at 3.8%, core PCE at 3.2%, Brent crude trading in a $103-$111 range, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.13%. The bond market has already repriced. The stock market has not.
May 19, 2026
Forget Nvidia. These 2 stocks are set to boom no matter what the AI trade does next.
Every long-only book in America is now a concentrated bet on the same factor. The Magnificent Seven account for 34.8% of the $67.3 trillion S&P 500 as of May 2026, up from 12.5% in 2016. Two stocks stand out with two-year daily-return correlations of 0.30 or lower to the semiconductor complex.
May 19, 2026
2 stocks that can rally the most if the Iran oil shock keeps getting worse
Brent crude is up 51 percent since US and Israeli strikes hit Iran on February 28, but the two equities with the most leverage to a multi year supply crunch have barely moved.
May 18, 2026
Bill Ackman is betting that Wall Street is wrong about Microsoft
Microsoft is the worst-performing Mag 7 stock of 2026 and Alphabet is up 28.1%.1 Bill Ackman built a Pershing Square stake valued over $2 billion, calling the valuation "highly compelling" and noting it was established at roughly 21x forward earnings, broadly in line with the market multiple and well below Microsoft's recent trading average.2
May 15, 2026
Cerebras nearly doubled on its first day. Every IPO that ran that hot in the last decade had a 0% win rate over 6 months.
Cerebras priced its IPO at $185 and closed at $311. Across 15 hyped tech IPOs since 2015, the median name fell 30% from its first-month peak inside six months, and the most-hyped subset finished 54% lower with a zero-percent win rate.
May 15, 2026
Korea's AI Trade is stacked with 5 geopolitical risks. Micron has none of them.
EWY sells itself as a Korean country fund, but half sits in just two chipmakers, SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, with a labor strike, a new mandatory treasury-share cancellation regime, and a North Korean missile program layered on top. The cleaner expression of the same AI memory thesis is Micron, trading at roughly 8x consensus fiscal-2027 EPS estimates and carrying a Wall Street Strong Buy with no sell ratings.
May 15, 2026
Scott Bessent predicts disinflation. 2 stocks to play his bet.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expects “one or two more hot inflation numbers, but then I think we’re going to see substantial disinflation." The cleanest equity expressions of that unwind are Delta Air Lines and D.R. Horton, both bruised by the inflation tape and both trading on compressed forward multiples.
May 14, 2026
Boeing is set to run higher but Wall Street's numbers don't show it
Kelly Ortberg boarded Air Force One for Beijing with prediction markets pricing an 86% chance of a Boeing aircraft purchase announcement out of the May 14-15 Trump-Xi summit, and US and Chinese media reporting a package that could include as many as 500 737 MAX narrowbody jets plus roughly 100 widebodies, with the upper-bound headline figure framed as 600 aircraft.[1] Wall Street's 2027-2028 consensus revenue model still assumes the China share that has held since the 737 MAX grounding, and Boeing CFO Brian West has said China represents about 10% of total backlog with roughly 500 China-destined jets sitting in the unidentified-customer line.
May 14, 2026
2 small stocks that benefit from Kevin Warsh's first Fed moves
Kevin Warsh was confirmed as Fed Chair by the Senate today in a 54-45 vote, with Powell's term as chair expiring May 15.1,2 Warsh has said in print he wants a smaller Fed balance sheet, an end to the dot plot, and an exit from the central bank's role in the mortgage market.3 The market is pricing one-dimensional hawkishness while ignoring the two specific business models that get paid when his plans become operating reality.
May 13, 2026
2 stocks that win when the Fed has to cut into hot inflation
April CPI came in at 3.8% year-over-year, the hottest print in nearly three years. Wall Street is crowding into Exxon, Chevron and XLE while two small, cleaner expressions of the same regime sit in the red over the past 12 months.
May 13, 2026
The Iran conflict doubled energy earnings estimates but these 2 stocks didn't move
Wall Street has marked up 2026 earnings for S&P 500 refiners and shale producers since the February 28 strikes on Iran, and most of the stocks have barely budged.1 The mispricing concentrates in two names with cheap multiples and back-end-loaded earnings power.
May 12, 2026
2 under-the-radar AI chip stocks where founders are holding instead of selling
Sixty US-listed AI semiconductor and memory tickers went through the analytical framework and only Himax Technologies and Alpha and Omega Semiconductor showed concentrated ownership clearing 15% on a founder-control basis.
May 12, 2026
Midterm years are historically bad for stocks. The trade is already forming.
The S&P 500 is at record highs and the four-year political cycle says that is the warning, not the all-clear.1 Across nine completed midterm cycles since 1990, the index has averaged a maximum drawdown of -17.58% with the trough printing in Q3 or Q4 in 7 of 9 cycles and clustering most often in mid-October.1 The trade is not selling in May, it is having a buy list cocked for the back half of the year, because the 12 months after the midterm trough have averaged +26.34% in price return with positive outcomes in 9 of 9 cycles.1
May 11, 2026
Tech stocks keep getting cheaper even as their prices go up. Look at these 2 names.
The S&P 500 Information Technology sector is up 21.9% year to date, yet the forward price-to-earnings multiple for the largest tech names has fallen by double digits over the same window. Tech-sector earnings grew 41% in Q1 against a roughly 22% price gain, which is the only way both can be true.
May 11, 2026
Memory stocks are doing what Cisco did in March 2000. History is flashing a warning.
Micron is up roughly 1,114% from its April 2025 intraday low and SanDisk is up 5,503%, and every major memory-and-storage name in the AI-infrastructure complex (MU, SNDK, WDC, STX) now trades 13% to 60% above the mean Wall Street price target.1
May 11, 2026
Bank stocks hit a 10-year low against the S&P 500. 2 stocks look bullish right now.
The XLF/SPY ratio closed Friday at 0.0695, the lowest reading in the eleven-year sample from January 2015 through May 2026, the period since XLF’s current sector composition was established after the XLRE real-estate spin-off in October 2015, while the S&P 500 prints fresh all-time highs.
May 8, 2026
Stocks are at records and oil is near $100. These 2 stocks cash in on both.
The S&P 500 is up 31% over 12 months and crude is up roughly 70% over the same window. Both recently touched 12-month highs, an unusual combination given the historically inverse equity-multiple-versus-crude relationship. Two stocks stand out as the cleanest expressions for monetizing that setup.
May 7, 2026
This South Korean ETF is smashing records but 2 single-name Korean stocks look more attractive
EWY is 66 percent above its 200-day moving average, the most extreme reading in the ETF's history. The Korea Value-Up reform thesis is real, but EWY is a leveraged HBM memory bet wearing a country-diversification disguise, and 2 single-name alternatives express the same reform thesis with a fraction of the chip-cycle risk.
May 6, 2026
This small-cap data center play has a bullish setup even after hitting a 52-week high.
Penguin Solutions closed at $36.45 on May 5, a fresh 52-week closing high after a +12.5% session on 2.6x average volume. The print follows six consecutive quarterly EPS beats and two FY26 guidance raises in a single April release.
May 6, 2026
This booming retailer just joined the S&P 500 but Wall Street says it’s already a sell
Casey’s General Stores has soared 56% year-to-date, more than triple the gain of its closest valuation peers Walmart and Costco. All three names now trade in the same forward P/E neighborhood, yet only Casey’s carries a mean analyst price target sitting below its current price.
May 5, 2026
2 stocks that win with the market shrugging off oil, the Iran conflict and every macro headwind right now
The S&P 500 closed at a fresh all-time high on May 1 with oil ETFs up 107.1% year-to-date and the US Navy still blockading the Strait of Hormuz. The data point to the strongest profit-margin print in more than 15 years bulldozing a war premium.
May 5, 2026
GameStop's Ryan Cohen wants eBay but buying either stock today is the wrong trade
GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen confirmed on CNBC's Squawk Box Monday that GameStop has built a roughly 5 percent economic interest in eBay through a combination of derivatives and common stock and submitted a non-binding offer of 125 dollars per share, valuing eBay at approximately 55.5 billion dollars in aggregate undiluted equity value. The data does not support buying either name today.
May 4, 2026
Berkshire Hathaway's post-Buffett era is underway. Here's the bull and bear case.
Greg Abel's first quarter as Berkshire CEO printed 18% operating earnings growth, a record $397.4 billion cash pile, and the first share buybacks since May 2024. The stock has done nothing for a year, trailing the S&P 500 by roughly 40 percentage points since Buffett's succession announcement, and the gap is now wider than the operating numbers can defend on their own.
May 4, 2026
Google suddenly took a lead against Nvidia in the race to $10 trillion
Alphabet added $421 billion in market cap on Thursday and reported Q1 2026 results that pushed Cloud growth to 63% and lifted contracted backlog to $460 billion in a single quarter.1,2 Nvidia still leads on market value by roughly $190 billion and needs less price appreciation to reach $10 trillion, but the math beneath the surface tells a different story.
May 1, 2026
The US now exports more oil than Iran pumps. 4 stocks win either way.
US crude exports just cleared 6 million barrels per day for the first time, even as the Iran war enters its ninth week and Brent futures traded above $118. The setup looks like a one-way oil shock. The trade is to own both sides of it.
May 1, 2026
Israel's stock market is pricing the end of the Iran threat
Since the day before Hamas attacked, Israel's flagship index has roughly doubled the S&P 500's return. The TA-35 forward earnings multiple has expanded from 11.3x in August 2025 to 17.9x this month, putting Israeli equities at their most expensive since 2008. The easy money has already been made.
April 30, 2026
There’s a 9-point gap for S&P 500 targets between prediction markets and Wall Street
Wall Street strategists have spent April marking 2026 S&P 500 targets up to a base-case mean of 7,780. Kalshi’s prediction market for the year’s high is pricing the same index to drift sideways, with the 7,800 touch contract trading at 37.5 cents and the 8,000 touch contract at 27.7 cents.3 One side is wrong.
April 30, 2026
Closing the Strait of Hormuz makes Canada the world's sulfur lifeline. 2 stocks win.
The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively closed for two months, taking roughly half of seaborne sulfur trade off the market and sending the global benchmark up more than 70%. The market is trading this as an oil story and a Mosaic story. Both framings miss the cleanest expression of the shock, which sits inside Canada's integrated oil-sands and fertilizer complex.
April 30, 2026
The market still undervalues Visa even after its massive earnings beat
Visa just printed its biggest revenue growth quarter since 2022 and the stock is still down double-digits in 2026. The market is pricing AI agents and stablecoins as a disruption story when the data shows Visa is converting both into new toll lanes.
April 29, 2026
2 non-crowded stocks that win from Nvidia's dominance
Nvidia's earnings dominance is real, but the trade is crowded. The cleaner expression of the same earnings flow is two third-order suppliers that report earnings before NVDA does and trade with a fraction of the consensus crowd.
April 29, 2026
These 2 large-cap stocks have grown free cash flow while hyperscaler capex has exploded
Hyperscaler capex went from roughly $80 billion in 2020 to a projected $660 billion in 2026, and the FCF margins of Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle have each fallen 8 to 12 percentage points as a direct result. Two large-cap names ran the opposite way over the same four years.
April 29, 2026
Sun Pharma's acquisition of Organon reveals a new playbook that could benefit 3 stocks next
Sun Pharma's $14 takeout of Organon, struck at roughly 103% above the unaffected pre-rumor price, is not a generics consolidation story. It is the moment a foreign manufacturer crossed over to acquire the US-originated science it had spent fifteen years out-producing. The same arc is now mid-run in shipbuilding, drone components, and lithium refining.
April 28, 2026
Boomers aren’t leaving money to the kids. They’re spending it on these 2 stocks.
The great wealth transfer headline ranges from the widely-cited $84 trillion estimate to $124 trillion. Boomers are not handing intact estates down. They are spending the money on themselves, and 2 companies sit at the cash register before any of it ever reaches an heir.
April 28, 2026
3 boring AI winners hiding in plain sight
The market keeps trying to price AI through Nvidia and the hyperscalers. The more useful question is which old-economy companies are quietly running AI through their cost structure and posting margin gains the multiple has not caught up to. Three names clear the bar.
April 27, 2026
2 stocks that rally if Kalshi is right about Fed rate cuts
Prediction markets price roughly a 60% chance the Fed cuts at least once in 2026. Rates futures price about 27%. Two rate-sensitive stocks at or near 52-week lows are trading like the futures market is right, and the asymmetry favors the names that move when Kalshi does.
April 27, 2026
The chip stocks to buy and fade after the biggest semiconductor rally on record
SOXX just printed an 18-day winning streak, the longest on record, and gained 49.0 percent in the process.1 But 6 of the top 10 holdings now trade above their median sell-side price target across multiple consensus aggregators, 5 carry an RSI above 80, and the basket sits at roughly 43 times forward earnings against a 22 times tape.
April 27, 2026
3 stocks to bet on with the US as the dominant LNG exporter in the world
U.S. LNG exports hit an all-time monthly record of 11.7 million metric tons in March 2026, while Iranian strikes on Qatar's Ras Laffan complex sidelined roughly 17% of Qatari capacity and dragged global LNG supply down by approximately 20%.1,2,3 Three stocks stand out as the cleanest U.S.-listed expressions of that structural ramp.
April 24, 2026
3 defense stocks to bet on with President Trump rebuilding the Navy
Trump's naval rebuild is funneling massive capital into three companies that physically build and digitally connect every new hull. Combined contract backlogs across these names total roughly $223 billion, and all three trade well below their 52-week highs.
April 24, 2026
3 stocks to play the AI-fueled uranium squeeze
Wall Street is pricing the reactors but it's barely begun pricing the fuel. Goldman Sachs projects a 1.763 billion pound uranium supply deficit through 2045, and three uranium stocks have each returned more than 180% over the past year against 35% for the S&P 500.
April 24, 2026
3 stocks besides Novo and Lilly that win from the GLP-1 supercycle
The GLP-1 market is booming but Wall Street is still crowded into the same two names. The second-order trade sits in the infrastructure, packaging, and next-generation molecules that benefit regardless of which drug wins each new indication. Three companies at critical chokepoints across the GLP-1 value chain remain mispriced.
April 23, 2026
Congress's favorite chip stocks are crushing the S&P 500 by 11% this year
Lawmakers have filed more than 4,100 stock transactions worth roughly $878 million in the 2025 to 2026 window. Both parties are long AI and semiconductors, and the semiconductor basket is beating the S&P 500 by an average of 10.8%.
April 23, 2026
3 mining stocks to capitalize on both the AI data center boom and defense buildout
The world needs 50% more copper by 2040 and has no realistic way to produce it. AI data centers and defense infrastructure are stacking millions of tonnes of price-inelastic demand on top of a supply base that peaked in 2025, and three miners control the assets.
April 23, 2026
3 high-conviction stocks for the AI trade that aren't chip names
Data center power demand is on pace to triple to 134 gigawatts by 2030, and the grid cannot keep up. The companies that generate the electricity, build the transmission lines, and produce the natural gas feeding all of it are the real winners of the AI buildout.
April 23, 2026
Prediction markets see the GOP losing midterms. 4 stocks will tell who's right.
Kalshi's odds of GOP Senate control peaked above 73% last July and have fallen to a coin flip today, while the same Kalshi market prices an 86% probability the Democrats retake the House, and other polls still call the Senate a likely Republican hold.1,2 The equity market has positioned as if the old Kalshi is still true.
April 22, 2026
Amazon's GLP-1 move just opened a compelling short on a telehealth leader
Amazon launched a full-stack GLP-1 weight loss program, bundling branded drugs from Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly with same-day delivery and cheap insurance pricing. The market sold off HIMS, NVO, LLY, and AMGN indiscriminately, but the damage is not evenly distributed.
April 22, 2026
Prediction markets see higher inflation than the Fed. These 6 stocks play the gap.
Prediction markets, the Cleveland Fed, and the OECD all price April CPI well above the Fed's 2.7% PCE projection. The equity market has barely started to absorb what a 3.6%+ print on May 13 means for pricing-power stocks versus rate-sensitive names. A three-long, three-short pairs-trade framework illustrates the asymmetric repricing the market faces.
April 22, 2026
The 2 retailers Wall Street misprices in the $166 billion tariff refund
The CAPE tariff refund portal just opened, beginning the disbursement of $166 billion in IEEPA tariffs invalidated by the Supreme Court. The market priced this catalyst into the names Wall Street already loved. It has been far slower to price it into the two names where the refund is most material to equity value.
April 21, 2026
Wall Street is betting on rate cuts. Kalshi markets see the Fed hiking again.
On Kalshi, traders are pricing a 69 percent probability that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates at least once between now and December 2027, per the April 16 closing print.1 At the same horizon, Goldman Sachs still forecasts a Fed funds target of 3.00 to 3.25 percent by year-end 2026.
April 21, 2026
This Kalshi inflation bet doubles if oil stays above $85 this summer
Kalshi's contract on US inflation crossing 4% at any point in 2026 trades at 48 cents, and the only variable that decides how it resolves is where WTI crude lands between now and year-end.
April 21, 2026
Prediction markets and Goldman Sachs agree on recession odds. The bond market doesn’t.
Four independent market signals price 2026 U.S. recession probability in a range of roughly 9% to 26%, a 17-point spread that runs universally below Wall Street institutional estimates of 30% to 49%. Each market answers a subtly different question about severity and timing.
April 21, 2026
2 emerging market ETFs are set to profit as the US dollar breaks down
The US dollar posted its sharpest annual decline since 2017, dropping more than 9% in 2025, and the structural forces driving it lower are accelerating. Two emerging market ETFs have extracted more value than any others.
April 21, 2026
3 Kalshi contracts where the data says you have an edge
Prediction markets are mispricing recession risk, S&P 500 year-end levels, and Fed rate cuts by 4 to 17 percentage points versus what five real-time macro indicators actually show. The largest gap sits in plain sight.
April 20, 2026
2 stocks will cash in as AI inference costs catch up to salaries
Goldman Sachs estimates that AI inference costs in engineering organizations are approaching 10% of total headcount costs, accelerating toward salary parity within several quarters. Two stocks stand out as best-positioned.
April 20, 2026
2 high-conviction stock picks for the earnings cycle that keeps accelerating
The S&P 500 sits roughly 4.1% above its December 31, 2025 close, but the earnings story underneath is accelerating far faster than the index price suggests. Two stocks sit at the center of that disconnect.
April 20, 2026
2 trades for the rare S&P 500 signal that's historically led to a 33% rally within a year
Three consecutive weeks of +3% gains has happened exactly three times in 76 years. The first two launched some of the most powerful bull runs in American market history, delivering an average +33.4% price return over the following twelve months. Here's how to play it.
April 17, 2026
Every V-shaped rebound the last 10 years has led to higher stocks 12 months later
The S&P 500 erased the entire Iran war selloff in 11 trading days and closed at a new all-time high of 7,023 on April 15. That makes this the fifth V-shaped recovery since 2016, and the prior four delivered an average +47.4% return over the following 12 months with a 100% hit rate.
April 17, 2026
AI tokens are the new oil. These 2 stocks own the wells.
Hyperscalers will spend at least $630 billion on AI infrastructure in 2026, a 62% increase over 2025, and two companies sit at the most advantageous positions in the value chain. NVIDIA owns the token manufacturing layer at roughly 24x forward earnings, and Vertiv owns the physical infrastructure layer with a $15 billion backlog that extends demand visibility into 2027.
April 17, 2026
3 industrial stocks the AI trade is fueling but ignoring
The first companies converting agentic AI into measurable operating efficiency gains are freight brokers, retailers, and consumer staples firms. The S&P 500 credits AI software stocks for the rally, but the data points to a different set of winners trading at industrial multiples with structural margin expansion already on the books.
April 16, 2026
Snap copied Meta's layoff playbook but the growth story still isn't clear
Snap cut 16% of its workforce today and investors rewarded it immediately. The move follows activist pressure from Irenic Capital and mirrors the same cost-cutting formula that sent Meta up 194% in 2023. The question now is whether Snap has the revenue engine to back it up.
April 16, 2026
Robinhood looks set to outperform Schwab as it rerates to America's default brokerage
Robinhood (HOOD) at $87.32 commands roughly 37–38x forward earnings after rallying 25% on the Trump Accounts contract win. The sell-side has not modeled the lifetime compounding value of 4 million government-funded accounts landing on HOOD's platform starting July 4. The demographic moat that Schwab cannot replicate starts compounding in 80 days.
April 16, 2026
Options trading has tripled since COVID and these 3 stocks keep getting paid
Retail investors now account for up to 25% of U.S. equity volume, roughly double their share a decade ago. Zero-day options have skyrocketed. Yet the market still prices exchange operators like slow-growth utilities, and three names sit at the center of a structural shift the Street keeps calling cyclical.
April 16, 2026
Allbirds stock is up 700% on the same AI pivot that tanked BuzzFeed and Rent the Runway
Allbirds sold its brand for $39 million, announced a GPU-as-a-Service pivot called "NewBird AI," and the stock ripped as high as 700% on pure retail momentum. Every historical analog for this exact playbook ended the same way, and the pattern is about to repeat.
April 16, 2026
2 buy-the-dip rallies in 12 months tell investors the same thing
The S&P 500 nearly erased its entire Iran war selloff by April 13, closing within rounding error of its pre-war level and completing the second V-shaped recovery in 12 months. The pattern reveals a market with muscle memory for buying crises, but this time the macro environment underneath is more dangerous than the one before.
April 15, 2026
The next Fed Chair has $100 million riding on Stan Druckenmiller's portfolio
Buried on page 36 of Kevin Warsh's nominee ethics disclosure are two lines labeled "Juggernaut Fund, LP," each valued over $50 million and held through his Vicarage Corporation. Both endnotes send readers to the same SEC 13-F filer, CIK 1536411, Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Family Office.
April 15, 2026
This Senator's wife sold Goldman Sachs before a 46% rally. What else Congress got wrong last year.
On February 28, 2025, a position held by Senator Dave McCormick's spouse sold Goldman Sachs at $622.29 per share, and the stock now trades at $907.80, a 45.9% gain the household gave up. That is the single worst timing call in the entire 2025 congressional trading dataset, and one of seventeen seven-figure trades that six members of Congress disclosed all year.
April 15, 2026
Anthropic's Mythos just made 2 cybersecurity stocks far more attractive
Anthropic built an AI model so powerful at finding software vulnerabilities that it refused to release it publicly. Then it hand-picked two names as key partners to deploy it. The market sold both stocks on AI fear and got the direction completely wrong.
April 15, 2026
This quantum stock just surged 20% and its $370 million backlog says it's just getting started
IonQ closed up 20.16% on Tuesday after announcing a DARPA quantum networking contract and the first photonic link between two commercial quantum computers. Its backlog has ballooned almost five times in 12 months, from $77 million to $370 million.
April 14, 2026
2 defense stocks best-positioned for Strait of Hormuz uncertainty
Two defense companies sit at the exact nexus of three overlapping defense spending cycles triggered by Iran-driven Middle East escalation, with one trading at roughly 19-21x forward earnings with a 0.24 beta.
April 14, 2026
3 stocks that win with Latin America's right-wing shift
Latin America's 2022-2023 leftist wave is losing institutional support across its four largest economies at roughly the same time, and three state-controlled oil companies trade at roughly half the forward multiple of Exxon and Chevron with mid-single-digit dividend yields. The market treats each country as an isolated political story. We read the pattern as connected.
April 14, 2026
Intel’s 58% rally looks more like a trap than a turnaround
Intel surged 58% in nine trading days to a new 52-week high of $65.18, but the stock now trades at 64x forward earnings while generating negative free cash flow and shrinking revenue.
April 13, 2026
Smart money keeps buying this crashing stock
Five Nike executives have spent $6.1 million of their own money buying NKE shares since November, the densest personal insider buying cluster in the Dow. Every one of them is underwater. Academic research on insider buying clusters shows 20.94% twelve-month excess returns for high-conviction purchases, and one board member just doubled down at prices 26% below his first buy.
April 13, 2026
SpaceX IPO has history working against it
Since 2015, eleven space companies have entered public markets and seven of them destroyed shareholder value. SpaceX recently filed IPO documents with the SEC, with reports indicating the company may target a valuation of roughly $1.75 trillion.
April 13, 2026
This Senator bought defense stocks days before the Venezuela operation
Senator Markwayne Mullin bought RTX, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips on December 29, 2025. Five trading sessions later, US forces launched Operation Absolute Resolve and captured Nicolas Maduro. The three-stock basket is up 21.8% since that trade while the S&P 500 is down 1.3%.
April 13, 2026
Record gas prices alone have never caused a bear market
The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline just crossed $4 for only the third time in US history. Wall Street strategists are citing the two previous episodes as evidence that a bear market is imminent, but the data tells a different story.
April 10, 2026
This Congressman banned TikTok, then bet millions on the company that wanted to buy it
Rep. Josh Gottheimer co-led the law that forced ByteDance to sell TikTok or lose the American market. His household then purchased between $3.5 million and $16 million in Microsoft stock and options while Microsoft was the leading reported bidder to acquire the app. The pattern did not stop there.
April 10, 2026
These 2 stocks can rally big with stagflation signals flashing
Thursday's PCE report confirmed core inflation at 3.0% in February, 100 basis points above the Fed's target, before a single war-driven energy dollar hit the data. The selloff in oil stocks has suddenly opened up new opportunities.
April 10, 2026
AI replaced 27,000 jobs this year. It's also prevented 1 million new hires.
The US economy added 178,000 jobs last month, nonfarm payrolls sit at 158.6 million, and unemployment is 4.3%. The "AI is stealing our jobs" narrative falls apart against the aggregate data. But underneath the headline numbers, the JOLTS hiring rate has fallen to levels that imply roughly 1 million fewer annualized hires than the 2023 pace, and that generational fracture is invisible in every traditional labor metric.
April 9, 2026
4 stocks that benefit from AI hitting unavoidable energy bottlenecks
The center of gravity in the AI trade has moved from semiconductors to steel, concrete, and copper. But the US power grid cannot deliver gigawatts fast enough to match the buildout. A handful of power-infrastructure companies are positioned to benefit.
April 9, 2026
Oil just had its worst day in 6 years. History says stocks run from here
Crude collapsed 14.6% on the US-Iran ceasefire, the largest single-session drop since the OPEC+ price war of March 2020. In every historical analog where oil crashed 10%+ on a geopolitical resolution, the S&P 500 was higher one month and three months later.
April 9, 2026
3 stocks that could double when oil falls below $80
Three fuel-guzzling companies are trading at 3.9-5.5x the earnings they would generate at normalized oil prices, and the market has not priced in the coming reversal post-Iran conflict.
April 9, 2026
2 stocks Meta inadvertently boosted with its new AI model
Meta's Muse Spark model achieves Llama 4 Maverick performance at one-tenth the compute cost. Wall Street spent months pricing Meta's AI capex as a liability. Today's model launch flips that math and it looks like fuel for two picks-and-shovels plays.
April 9, 2026
Only 1 big bank stock actually doesn't need rate cuts
One bank generates 89% of its revenue from fees, trading, and wealth management. While competitors pray the Fed delivers more cuts, this giant grew its net interest income 79% in a year when the Fed was already cutting.
April 8, 2026
The winning AI stocks of Congress's top lawmakers
Members of Congress traded millions of dollars in AI stocks ahead of legislation they personally shaped, earning returns that doubled the S&P 500. The penalty for violating federal disclosure rules is less than a parking ticket.
April 8, 2026
Companies replacing workers with AI have lagged the S&P 500 by a landslide
Ten companies made public announcements about replacing human workers with artificial intelligence between April 2023 and January 2026. Nine of the ten have underperformed the S&P 500 since the day they made the announcement.
April 8, 2026
These 2 stocks just struck gold with Anthropic
Anthropic's revenue run rate hit $30 billion, tripling in three months and surpassing OpenAI for the first time. The company simultaneously locked in the largest compute deal in AI history with two mega-cap stocks.
April 8, 2026
This airline stock will fly if the Iran conflict doesn't end soon
The war in Iran has roughly doubled jet fuel prices in five weeks and left most major U.S. carriers fully exposed to spot fuel costs. But one airline's refinery offsets 40-50% of its domestic fuel needs, creating a structural advantage worth roughly $2 billion annually at current prices.
April 8, 2026
These 25 founder-led stocks carry the entire S&P 500
Strip the founder-led companies from the S&P 500 and the last three years shrink from a 60% gain to a 46% grind. Twenty-five CEOs who built their own companies from scratch now account for $9.2 trillion in market value.
April 7, 2026
5 Stocks That Win From $166 Billion in Tariff Refunds
CBP's tariff refund portal goes live around April 20, returning IEEPA duties to 330,000 importers. For five mid-cap importers with heavy China sourcing and minimal oil exposure, the estimated refund could represent roughly 5% to 15% of their entire market capitalization. I have not seen mainstream research that maps this.
April 6, 2026
3 Stocks Winning From Both the Iran Oil Shock and Supreme Court Tariff Refunds
The WTI futures curve prices May oil at $98.62 and December at $74.49, a 41.4 percent backwardation from front to back that is the widest since the 2022 Russia shock. Wall Street sold energy stocks on the April 8 ceasefire as if the shock is over, but the futures curve did not move.
April 6, 2026
Overpaid S&P 500 CEOs underperform cheap ones like Elon Musk by a landslide
We matched five years of CEO compensation data against stock price returns for the 100 largest S&P 500 companies. The correlation between pay and performance is negative. The 20 lowest-paid CEOs delivered a 72% median return while the 22 highest-paid delivered 51%.
April 6, 2026
Wall Street's Favorite Story About Layoffs and Stock Prices Is Wrong
The "year of efficiency" narrative says companies that fire workers get rewarded with higher stock prices. We ran the numbers across 34 of the largest tech companies and found the correlation between headcount cuts and stock returns is almost exactly zero. The market pays a product premium, not an efficiency premium.
April 6, 2026
Stocks to Buy for Kevin Warsh’s Fed Regime
Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation hearing on April 16 will force an answer to a question the market has been dodging for two months. Rate-sensitive sectors are priced for two contradictory Fed chairs simultaneously, and the 35-percentage-point YTD spread between energy stocks and homebuilders reveals the size of the bet.
April 6, 2026
Buyback Stocks Doubled Dividend Stocks the Last 10 Years
S&P 500 companies are on track to have spent roughly $1 trillion on share repurchases in 2025, and the performance gap between buyback-focused strategies and dividend-focused strategies has never been wider. The data across most standard timeframes makes the same argument, and it is not close.
April 5, 2026
Insiders are dumping tech stocks and buying energy
The insider buy/sell ratio collapsed to 0.24 in Q1 2026, near its all-time low. But the aggregate number hides a sector-level divergence that is the real signal. NVIDIA executives sold over $100 million in stock last month while ExxonMobil insiders bought.
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